The path to the top of the leaderboard for him is very narrow. Farmers: Taylor Montgomery. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. He's got 18.78 percent of the vote, followed by Will Zalatoris (15.66 percent) and Shane Lowry (15.46 percent). He ranks third over the past 32 rounds in Strokes Gained: Approach and has continued to trend up. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. There was a world in which I considered Tom Kim as an outright pick this week. "This is a game of misses. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. Already one of the most prestigious events on the schedule, the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational gets official "elevated status" and a $20 million purse. Hes incredibly talented and seems to only be getting better. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. We are seeing Pereira mature right in front of our eyes. Outside of those events, Cantlay has been stellar. Every week, our golf betting experts and tipsters evaluate the PGA picks this week to determine which players are good value choices to perform well. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. Then it just comes down to the putter. Honda: Chris Kirk. Genesis Invitational DFS picks 2023: My expectations for Tiger Woods, For designated PGA Tour events to thrive, they need to lean into personalities, This player-caddie exchange at the WM Phoenix Open is the type of moment we need more of on golf broadcasts, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Xander Schauffele on the photo Patrick Cantlay will never see, his lingering back injury and why he doesn't tweet more. But given how well hes played in 2022 from the tee to the green, a putter that works for him might be able to change that. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Riley Hamel. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. A compact and shrewd design by George C. Thomas Jr. and associate William P. Bell, Riviera features everything from a long Redan par 3 to a bunker in the middle of a green to an alternate-fairway par 4. With the U.S. Open awarded to nearby LA Country Club for 2023, it doesnt appear Riviera will get another Open (though it will host the 2028 Olympics). Instead, Im taking guys like Schauffele, Rahm, Rory, Tony Finau, Justin Thomas and more out of the mix with the Top Rest of World on FanDuel. Hes finished T2 and T3 here in the past two years, so I love for him to continue in that space and come through as the winner in this elevated event. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Ill be thrilled if he plays well, but he wont be making an appearance in my lineups. With the course stretched to over 7,500 yards, the field will be hitting plenty of long irons into these greens. In the last year, hes lost 0.24 strokes putting per round and has lost 0.09 per round in the short-game categories combined. Vegas struggles around-the-greens, and hes dismal once he gets on the putting surfaces. Its always concerning when a golfer is so far from their DNA, and Hatton has also missed the cut in 13 of his 27 career major starts. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. I love buying in on players that are coming off a week where they gained strokes in all four major categories, which is the exact type of well-rounded approach that is extremely necessary at a course like Bay Hill. Depending on the site you use, you can bet on a player to finish in the top five, ten, or even forty at a tournament, and a variety of other markets. This new column, branched off from Horses For Courses, will focus on the statistical background of the PGA picks. He simply lost all his strokes with the putter, something that I can forgive. Hes separating himself from his peers on approach and with the putter, two skills that will be rewarded again this week. Golf betting online is a terrific way to spice up the big tournaments. It's a smaller PGA Tour field this week, but it's a much larger purse and the field is stacked with stars for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Genesis: Justin Thomas. Price range: $9,000 and above High Upside: Patrick Cantlay ($9,100 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel) Cantlay hasn't. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. Hes also earned five top-15 finishes in 2022, so hes comfortable with his name in contention. Those two golf courses are much better for him than Rivera, which will expose the worst parts of his game. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. It's fair to say that LIV's numbers are on par with the first round of last week's PGA Tour event. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Michael Murphy is a hero to me in every sense of the word. We provide comprehensive form guides, as well as news and links to the appropriate betting markets for PGA picks, to help you make informed golf bets. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. Wednesday's best picks NBA money line: Pelicans over Trail Blazers (WON $31.50) PGA, Arnold Palmer Invitational: Will Zalatoris to finish in the top 10 (PENDING $10 to win $23) Past results: Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating up. Rules Review: What is casual water and how do I play around it? He is one of our PGA tours picks this week. If you are the editor of Golf Digest, Heidi Klum, or one of the twelve people who read my work, you can reach me at brakesrshot@gmail.com. His past 13 individual events have produced zero top 30s, and hes losing strokes in nearly every category. Vegas has played well in 2023, earning a T-23 in Phoenix and T-25 in La Jolla. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Genesis Invitational. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! High Upside: Patrick Cantlay ($9,100 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel). Golf betting record in 2023 through Pebble Beach: 7-17-1, -3.114 units (0-5 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets) One-and-Done record in 2023: $553,137.22 (Matthew Fitzpatrick at Pebble, $0) PGA Tour. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. Everything with his game is clicking right now. He held the lead at this event in 2021 heading into the back nine on Sunday. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. There were also three new members elected to the USGA executive committee. Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. One and Done Pick for WM Phoenix Open: Xander Schauffele. Prop bets are wagers that dont necessarily rely on the outcome of a certain game or event. The weird extended weekend at Pebble Beach has concluded with Justin Rose as the champion not great for our PGA Tour expert picks and read on the tournament but now we move on to golfs party in the desert as we deliver WM Phoenix Open picks and best bets. Hes won five times in the past 18 months and possesses all the skills to win at any course. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). We have a Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. Tournament futures are the most popular since even the best players have favorable golf betting odds for punters. This would be his first since he claimed the 2019 Open title. Final Card: The Honda Classic The Press: A Golf Betting Podcast 18:35 49 . His past 10 starts have produced seven top-20s, including two victories. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) In the last four events hes played in, hes made the cut. Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. If youre looking to place a bet, there are a myriad of markets to choose from. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. We try hard to make sure that the site is up to date at all times. Online Gambling Golf PGA Picks This Week 2023: PGA Tour Expert Picks and Best Bets. Thanks to live-in-play wagering, its possible to bet on a tournament even after its already begun. The PGA Tour and LPGA Tour announced a new mixed-team event that will debut later this year in Florida and replace the QBE Shootout. The fairways and greens are difficult to hit, so there'll be more of an emphasis on short game this week. Thanks to its growing popularity in the sports betting market. 9 this week. Adrian Meronk ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,500 FanDuel). Learn from Jon Rahms abbreviated action to maximise your power game. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Sportsbooks have Will Zalatoris, Shane Lowry, and Sungjae IM at the top of the betting board as the tour goes to Memphis next week for the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Hes proving to be a force on world-class golf courses, and hes in the best stretch of golf of his career. After placing T6 in his 2019 tournament debut, he has since gone on to place T9 and T24 in his subsequent appearances. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Every golfer dreams of getting their handicap down, and weve got news for you. Pick To Win: Keith Mitchell ($6,600 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). A field made up of the top 30 golfers in the season-long FedEx Cup standings. RELATED:Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills, Most Likely To Disappoint: Branden Grace ($6,700 DraftKings | $7,900 FanDuel). Jon Rahm, defending champion Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, and many, many more will be ready to take on TPC Scottsdale this week in front of the always-raucous crowd. Usually. At this stage of his career, hes likely better suited for tough events thanks to his winning experience. Russell Henley, who had a three-stroke lead going into the final round of last years tournament before a six-man playoff, lost it in dramatic fashion in the final round. Rookies, veterans, and journeymen all need good results at Sedgefield Country Club to ensure their place in the FedEx St, where the top 125 players will be announced next week at Jude Championship field in TPC Southwind. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to-head golf matchup picks, PGA best bets. Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. Mitchell has proven to possess a few skills that will be very valuable at Southern Hills. Golf Digest - Does Kurt Kitayama even lift, bro? Since its opening in March 1993, the golf course at Links Hope Island has regularly featured among the leading courses in Australia. By Rick Gehman February 21, 2023 After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic. Chris Kirk has quietly been hot with a T3 finish in each of his last two starts. 0.18. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. We can also see the tangible improvements hes made with his putting stroke, earning 8.21 strokes over his past 12 events. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. Web Golf Odds to Win the Arnold Palmer Invitational Leading favorites and contenders golf odds from FanDuel Sportsbook refresh periodically and are . By cutting the cut. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. When it comes to the largest tournaments, some bookmakers give up to 8 or 10 spots. Though still volatile, hes starting to get a hair more consistentposting three top-five finishes in his past eight starts. Arnold palmer invitational picks golf digest. The term futures bets refers to wagers placed on the outcome of the next season. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. The Tour Championship is the pinnacle of achievement on the PGA TOUR. To get you in the mood, you can place bets on things like who will win rookie of the year or who will be declared FedEx Cup champion before the season even starts. Amateur in 2017, but no U.S. Open since 1948. Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units). Lowry has a good chance, based on the PGA expert picks this week, to capitalize on his strong play with a victory. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. A top-five finish for Zalatoris would be his second in his last five starts. The faster the greens and harder the course the better chance Zalatoris has of victory. PGA Picks This Week 2023: PGA Tour Expert Picks and Best Bets. This season, hes tour average (-0.01), and hes having the worst approach and putting season in half a decade. To know more about our writers and our ranking method you can learn more about ESTNN. Over the past 50 rounds, Thomas is gaining 1.00 strokes on approach, the second-best mark in the field (behind only Viktor Hovland), according to the RickRunGood.com golf database. Justin Thomas ($10,100 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). Each-way betting is quite similar to placing a bet on someone to win an event in the future. He hasnt won on American soil since the 2015 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational. Tony Finau ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). He is now one of the most dependable golfers as a result. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Hatton has historically been a good iron player, gaining 0.25 strokes per round over his past 100 rounds. The 2021 Valspar Championship field includes past winners of this event who are fetching long odds this week, such as Kevin Streelman (66-1), Gary Woodland (70-1), Charl Schwartzel (100-1) and. RELATED:How Tiger Woods could make a huge jump in the Official World Golf Ranking this week, Jhonattan Vegas ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel). Burns is quietly coming off a T-7 at the Phoenix Open and a T-11 at The American Express. Among the "contenders" (ranked 21-60), Max Homa is the current people's choice. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Usually. A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. Feb 13, 2022; Scottsdale, Arizona, USA; Patrick Cantlay plays hit tee shot on the par 3 16th hole during the final round of the WM Phoenix Open golf tournament. Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course - DataGolf): 1. Were burning another big name after whiffing of Fitzpatrick last week. For comparison's sake, the first round of The Honda Classic Thursday afternoon on Golf Channel drew 342,000 and 50,000 in the 18-49 demo. Spencer Aguiar, one of the most successful PGA bettors in the industry, now features 10+ weekly articles with his exclusive picks, rankings and models in the TeeOffSports VIP subscription. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Hes trending toward another victory. He is statistically among the top 15 golfers in terms of strokes gained on, off, and tee-to-green gains (seventeenth-best) due to his high percentage of green-in-regulation hits (69.83 percent). At the Masters, he had the best result (T3). The PGA TOUR has started its 2022-23 golf season, while LIV Golf has just wrapped up its inaugural season, and . One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125).
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